{"id":16770,"date":"2020-07-08T16:26:42","date_gmt":"2020-07-08T20:26:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.iamaw.ca\/?p=16770"},"modified":"2026-02-13T09:45:58","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T09:45:58","slug":"impact-de-la-covid-19-sur-lindustrie-aerospatiale-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iamunion.kinex12.com\/fr\/impact-de-la-covid-19-sur-lindustrie-aerospatiale-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Impact de la COVID-19 sur l\u2019industrie a\u00e9rospatiale"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pendant la pand\u00e9mie<\/u><\/p>\n

Bien que l’industrie du transport a\u00e9rien ait g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement fait preuve de r\u00e9silience \u00e0 la suite de perturbations et de crises majeures, il est douteux qu\u2019elle puisse se r\u00e9tablir aussi rapidement qu\u2019elle l\u2019a fait par le pass\u00e9. Les compagnies a\u00e9riennes manquent de liquidit\u00e9s, d\u2019o\u00f9 la possibilit\u00e9 de faillites, de consolidations et m\u00eame de nationalisations. Tout cela aura in\u00e9vitablement des r\u00e9percussions sur la fabrication d’avions civils, les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement et les entreprises de soutien apr\u00e8s-vente.<\/p>\n

Le secteur de la d\u00e9fense de l’a\u00e9rospatiale s’en sortira mieux, car les contrats ont \u00e9t\u00e9 conclus et les restrictions n’auront pas le m\u00eame impact.<\/p>\n

Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 commercial, on s’attend \u00e0 un affaiblissement des liens dans les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement ainsi qu’\u00e0 des ralentissements aux niveaux national et international.<\/p>\n

Les entreprises a\u00e9rospatiales devraient conna\u00eetre des probl\u00e8mes de tr\u00e9sorerie en mai et en juin \u00e0 mesure que de nouveaux calendriers de production seront \u00e9tablis. Dans le m\u00eame temps, les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s reverront leur strat\u00e9gie, leur empreinte industrielle et leur mod\u00e8le d’exploitation. Il y aura probablement des r\u00e9ductions des effectifs et l’efficacit\u00e9 sera examin\u00e9e. Les perspectives commerciales pr\u00e9voient que l’automatisation et l’impression 3D dans la fabrication \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle pourraient devenir la nouvelle norme. Les experts encouragent les entreprises \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leurs d\u00e9penses discr\u00e9tionnaires et d\u2019investissements, \u00e0 demander des extensions des lignes de cr\u00e9dit, \u00e0 rechercher des r\u00e9ductions des co\u00fbts d’infrastructure, des baisses d\u2019imp\u00f4ts et un soutien dans les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement. En outre, en raison de la perte de parts de march\u00e9, certains fournisseurs et prestataires sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9s peuvent subir des pressions financi\u00e8res.<\/p>\n

Comme il est difficile de d\u00e9terminer la dur\u00e9e des restrictions en ce qui concerne les voyage et s’il y aura une deuxi\u00e8me vague du virus, l’industrie a\u00e9rospatiale prend en consid\u00e9ration trois sc\u00e9narios, \u00e0 savoir\u00a0:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Si les restrictions durent deux mois<\/u>, les niveaux de voyage reviendraient th\u00e9oriquement \u00e0 100 % \u00e0 la fin de 2020 et au d\u00e9but de 2021. Le remplacement des avions serait report\u00e9 de 12 mois. La demande cumul\u00e9e pour nouveaux avions serait r\u00e9duite de 800 a\u00e9ronefs sur une p\u00e9riode de dix ans.<\/li>\n
  2. Si les restrictions durent quatre mois<\/u>, les niveaux de voyage reviendraient \u00e0 90 % des niveaux d’avant la crise d\u2019ici le d\u00e9but de l’\u00e9t\u00e9 2021. Le remplacement des avions serait report\u00e9 de 18 mois. La demande pour nouveaux avions serait r\u00e9duite de 15 840 a\u00e9ronefs sur une p\u00e9riode de dix ans, ce qui n\u00e9cessiterait une r\u00e9duction de la taille de l’industrie et un affinement des strat\u00e9gies en mati\u00e8re de remplacement et de la gamme de produits dans les flottes. Par exemple, les A220 seraient choisis en faveur des A320.<\/li>\n
  3. Si les restrictions durent six mois<\/u>, les niveaux de voyage reviendraient \u00e0 80 % des niveaux d’avant la crise d’ici l’\u00e9t\u00e9 2022. Le remplacement des avions serait report\u00e9 de 24 mois.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Dans ce sc\u00e9nario, la demande pour nouveaux avions chuterait de 50 % au cours des dix prochaines ann\u00e9es, ce qui entra\u00eenerait des mesures d\u2019aust\u00e9rit\u00e9 pour r\u00e9duire les effectifs et se restructurer. Toutefois, les commandes existantes et les obligations contractuelles des entreprises att\u00e9nueront certains des effets de la pand\u00e9mie.<\/p>\n

    \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 que l\u2019ERR est d\u00e9termin\u00e9 par la taille et l’activit\u00e9 de vol des flottes mondiales, ce domaine est le premier \u00e0 subir des ondes de choc dus \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie. Une fois que les avions sont clou\u00e9s au sol, \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0la demande d\u2019entretien li\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019ensemble du cycle de vol diminue. Les fournisseurs de services d\u2019ERR et de pi\u00e8ces d\u00e9tach\u00e9es seraient touch\u00e9s, car les ateliers d\u2019ERR utiliseraient d’abord les stocks existants avant d’acheter de nouvelles pi\u00e8ces aux fournisseurs.<\/p>\n

    Si les prix du p\u00e9trole restent bas, les compagnies a\u00e9riennes peuvent se permettre de faire voler des avions plus anciens et moins \u00e9conomes en carburant, ce qui aura \u00e9galement des r\u00e9percussions sur la fabrication et l’assemblage des avions.<\/p>\n

    Trois d\u00e9fis sont \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir ind\u00e9pendamment du sc\u00e9nario et de la dur\u00e9e des restrictions concernant les voyages.<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Report ou annulation des commandes d’avions.<\/li>\n
    2. Attendre le retour du nouvel avion.<\/li>\n
    3. R\u00e9duire au minimum le temps n\u00e9cessaire pour ajuster les cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      Apr\u00e8s la pand\u00e9mie<\/u><\/p>\n

      La r\u00e9duction des activit\u00e9s des \u00e9quipementiers et des fournisseurs est probable, car ils doivent s\u2019adapter \u00e0 de nouvelles r\u00e9alit\u00e9s, comme la perte des \u00e9conomies d’\u00e9chelle. Les entreprises devront \u00e9galement proc\u00e9der \u00e0 des ajustements en mati\u00e8re d’efficacit\u00e9, qui peuvent prendre la forme d’une automatisation. Celle-ci permettrait de r\u00e9duire les contacts entre humains et pourrait \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une mesure de sant\u00e9 et de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 compte tenu des nouvelles circonstances. Il se peut \u00e9galement que des fournisseurs en situation plus pr\u00e9caire abandonnent le march\u00e9 et qu’on assiste \u00e0 une certaine consolidation de l’industrie.<\/p>\n

      Les \u00e9quipementiers pourraient avoir une plus grande pr\u00e9sence et une plus grande concentration dans l’industrie ou il pourrait y avoir un mod\u00e8le industriel plus \u00e9quilibr\u00e9 entre les \u00e9quipementiers et les fournisseurs de niveau 1.<\/p>\n

      Une intervention gouvernementale pourrait s\u2019av\u00e9rer \u00eatre n\u00e9cessaire au moment o\u00f9 les entreprises passent \u00e0 un nouvel environnement op\u00e9rationnel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Pendant la pand\u00e9mie Bien que l’industrie du transport a\u00e9rien ait g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement fait preuve de r\u00e9silience \u00e0 la suite de perturbations et de crises majeures, il est douteux qu\u2019elle puisse se r\u00e9tablir aussi rapidement qu\u2019elle l\u2019a fait par le pass\u00e9. Les compagnies a\u00e9riennes manquent de liquidit\u00e9s, d\u2019o\u00f9 la possibilit\u00e9 de faillites, de consolidations et m\u00eame de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16774,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[77,78,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-declarations-de-position","category-covid-19-fr","category-les-nouvelles-des-machinistes-50"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nImpact de la COVID-19 sur l\u2019industrie a\u00e9rospatiale - I Am Union<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Impact de la COVID-19 sur l\u2019industrie a\u00e9rospatiale - I Am Union\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pendant la pand\u00e9mie Bien que l’industrie du transport a\u00e9rien ait g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement fait preuve de r\u00e9silience \u00e0 la suite de perturbations et de crises majeures, il est douteux qu\u2019elle puisse se r\u00e9tablir aussi rapidement qu\u2019elle l\u2019a fait par le pass\u00e9. Les compagnies a\u00e9riennes manquent de liquidit\u00e9s, d\u2019o\u00f9 la possibilit\u00e9 de faillites, de consolidations et m\u00eame de […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/iamunion.kinex12.com\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"I Am Union\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-07-08T20:26:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-13T09:45:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/iamunion.kinex12.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/COVID-19._Aerospacepsd.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"650\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"398\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"iamunion admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"iamunion admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"iamunion admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/c132944fc93657099309ae5deb74174e\"},\"headline\":\"Impact de la COVID-19 sur l\u2019industrie a\u00e9rospatiale\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-07-08T20:26:42+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-13T09:45:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":933,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/07\\\/COVID-19._Aerospacepsd.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"COV D\u00e9clarations de position\",\"COVID-19 fr\",\"Nouvelles de l'AIM\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/iamunion.kinex12.com\\\/covid19-impact-on-the-aerospace-industry-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Impact de la COVID-19 sur l\u2019industrie a\u00e9rospatiale - 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